My research spans two main areas: developing methodological tools for causal inference and examining the dynamics of political instability and regime change. Methodologically, I focus on incorporating spatial-temporal interdependence into causal frameworks to address challenges in studying political phenomena. Substantively, my work explores the consequences of rare and transformative events, such as failed coups, democratic breakdown, and the responses of citizens to political polarization and instability.
Below are my current working papers, which bridge these methodological and substantive interests. Each project contributes to advancing our understanding of political instability and its far-reaching effects on regimes and societies.
Alípio-Correa, Joao. (Manuscript in preparation) ”Spatiotemporal Interdependent Synthetic Control”
Alípio-Correa, Joao. (Manuscript in preparation) ”The Economic Impact of Political Instability: Evidence from Failed Coups”
Chelidonopoulos, Laura; Alípio-Correa, Joao. (Manuscript in preparation) ”Navigating the Divide: How Unattached Voters Respond to Politically Sponsored Protests in Polarized Contexts”
Alípio-Correa, Joao; Hang, Muyao. (Manuscript in preparation) ”Demanding deconsolidation: popular support for autoc- racy and democratic erosion